Foundation

OHUASI Research Methodology and Source Policy

Source-backed researchStrategic asset underwritingCapital formation lens

Briefing position

OHUASI uses a primary-source-first methodology that separates official facts, institutional evidence, issuer material, secondary context, and underwriting interpretation.

OHUASI uses a primary-source-first methodology that separates official facts, institutional evidence, issuer material, secondary context, and underwriting interpretation.

This page explains how OHUASI evaluates sources, structures research, applies frameworks, manages updates, and protects the boundary between source evidence and analytical judgment.

Research purpose

OHUASI publishes institutional research on African strategic assets, sovereign-linked privatization, holding structures, capital-market absorption, SADC corridors, sovereign liquidity, and capital formation.

The purpose is not to promote transactions. The purpose is to clarify underwriting questions.

OHUASI research asks:

  • What is the legal event?
  • What asset is being transferred?
  • What procedure applies?
  • What rights move with the asset?
  • What settlement mechanics apply?
  • What macro and market conditions matter?
  • What governance exists after transfer?
  • What exit and enforcement routes are available?

Source hierarchy

OHUASI prioritizes sources in this order.

Tier 1: official legal and regulatory sources

These include:

  • Decrees.
  • Official gazettes.
  • Laws and regulations.
  • Ministry publications.
  • Regulator notices.
  • Exchange disclosures.
  • Tender documents.
  • Prospectuses.
  • Official transaction documents.

These sources establish the factual perimeter.

Tier 2: institutional sources

These include:

  • IMF.
  • World Bank.
  • AfDB.
  • MIGA.
  • Central banks.
  • Finance ministries.
  • Development finance institutions.
  • Official exchange and market infrastructure documents.

These sources support macro, fiscal, financial-sector, and development-finance analysis.

Tier 3: issuer and company sources

These include:

  • Audited financial statements.
  • Company reports.
  • Investor presentations.
  • Official company announcements.
  • Corporate governance documents.

These sources support asset-specific analysis.

Tier 4: professional and media sources

These include:

  • Reputable wire services.
  • Financial press.
  • Law-firm notes.
  • Professional services updates.
  • Specialist research.

These sources are used for context and secondary interpretation, not as the sole basis for material claims when primary sources are available.

Fact versus interpretation

OHUASI separates facts from interpretation.

A fact is source-backed: a decree date, asset list, state stake, procedure, IMF statistic, World Bank financing amount, or BODIVA market figure.

An interpretation is OHUASI’s underwriting view: what the fact means for settlement risk, transferability, valuation, governance, capital-market absorption, or exit architecture.

OHUASI articles should make this distinction clear.

Frameworks

OHUASI applies two core frameworks.

The OHUASI STATE Matrix

The STATE Matrix evaluates:

  • Sovereign settlement risk.
  • Transferability of rights.
  • Asset cash-flow quality.
  • Transparency of valuation.
  • Exit and enforcement architecture.

Read: The OHUASI STATE Matrix

The OHUASI Capital Formation Stack

The Capital Formation Stack evaluates:

  • Sovereign balance sheet.
  • Regulatory architecture.
  • Market infrastructure.
  • Asset quality.
  • Capital pathway.

Read: The OHUASI Capital Formation Stack

Article structure standard

Analytical OHUASI articles should include:

  1. Direct-answer opening.
  2. Executive thesis.
  3. Factual event or definition.
  4. Why it matters.
  5. Underwriting interpretation.
  6. Framework application.
  7. Investor watchlist or checklist.
  8. Final position.
  9. Sources reviewed.
  10. Disclosure.

Update policy

Time-sensitive articles should be updated when material facts change.

Examples include:

  • Asset perimeter changes.
  • Tender documents are published.
  • Prospectuses are released.
  • Transaction calendars change.
  • Official macro data changes.
  • Exchange disclosures are updated.
  • Regulatory approvals are issued.
  • Financing packages are amended.

Updates should not silently change material facts. If a material update affects the analysis, the article should include a clear update note.

Disclosure standard

OHUASI does not provide investment advice, legal advice, tax advice, structuring advice, insurance advice, securities recommendations, official government representation, issuer endorsement, or insider access.

Every page that discusses assets, securities, privatization, debt, FX, capital markets, or investment structures should include a disclosure appropriate to the content.

Read: Research Disclosures

Language standard

OHUASI avoids promotional language.

Avoid:

  • Guaranteed returns.
  • Best investment opportunity.
  • Official source.
  • Government-approved.
  • Insider access.
  • Safe investment.
  • Risk-free.
  • Buy now.
  • Officially approved.

Use:

  • Underwriting question.
  • Strategic asset transfer.
  • Transfer architecture.
  • Settlement mechanics.
  • Capital-market absorption.
  • Post-transfer governance.
  • Exit and enforcement architecture.
  • Institutional capital readiness.

Final position

OHUASI research is built to be cited, checked, and reused.

The methodology is simple: start with source-backed facts, separate them from interpretation, apply repeatable frameworks, disclose limitations, and define the underwriting questions that matter for African strategic assets.

Evidence labels used across OHUASI

OHUASI uses evidence labels to prevent readers from confusing source-backed facts with editorial interpretation.

Label Meaning Example use
Official evidence A claim supported by a decree, law, regulator notice, exchange disclosure, tender document, prospectus, or official transaction document. Asset appears in a privatization program.
Institutional evidence A claim supported by IMF, World Bank, MIGA, BODIVA, central bank, DFI, or official market infrastructure sources. Macro, financial stability, guarantee, or exchange context.
Legal-source interpretation A claim supported by reputable legal or advisory summaries of official documents. Procedure interpretation or asset inclusion summary.
Market-source context A claim supported by reputable financial, sector, or market research. Liquidity, trading, sector, or investor-base context.
OHUASI interpretation A conclusion drawn by OHUASI from source-backed facts using its frameworks. Whether an asset is watchlist, monitorable, diligence-ready, or underwritable.
Open question A material issue where current sources do not yet provide enough evidence. Asset perimeter, settlement mechanics, governance rights, or exit route pending.

Source limits

OHUASI does not treat every cited source as proof of every claim.

A source may prove one thing but not another. For example:

  • A decree may prove that an asset is listed in a program, but not that a prospectus is available.
  • A legal update may summarize procedure, but not replace tender documents.
  • A BODIVA market statistic may show market activity, but not prove a specific IPO can be absorbed.
  • A MIGA guarantee page may explain political-risk categories, but not prove coverage for a specific investor unless the project source says so.
  • A sector article may identify a market signal, but not establish official transaction status.

OHUASI articles should state the source limit when the distinction matters.

Status labels

OHUASI uses the following editorial status labels for source-sensitive assets.

Status Meaning
Watchlist The asset or theme is relevant, but transaction evidence remains thin.
Monitorable Source evidence supports structured tracking, but key underwriting evidence is missing.
Diligence-ready Procedure, stake, perimeter, or documentation is visible enough for specialist diligence to begin.
Underwritable Procedure, perimeter, settlement, governance, approvals, and exit route are sufficiently source-supported for institutional underwriting analysis.
Excluded Reliable source evidence indicates the asset is outside the current execution perimeter.

These labels are not ratings and are not recommendations.

Correction and update protocol

OHUASI should correct material errors when found.

Material corrections include:

  • Incorrect source URL.
  • Incorrect asset status.
  • Incorrect procedure label.
  • Stale source used as current evidence.
  • Confusion between official evidence and secondary commentary.
  • Incorrect claim about inclusion or exclusion.
  • Missing disclosure on a source-sensitive page.

When a correction materially changes the interpretation, the page should include an update note.

When a correction is minor, such as a typo or broken link, the page may be corrected without changing the thesis.

Future-dated content policy

OHUASI should not publish future-dated monitors before the relevant period begins.

Pre-publication source packs may be created internally to prepare July, August, or quarterly monitors, but those source packs should remain internal and noindexed unless rewritten as public pages.

Monthly monitors should include an as-of date and should distinguish:

  • New source changes.
  • No-change baseline evidence.
  • Watchlist triggers.
  • Open questions.

Role-boundary rule

OHUASI content must not imply government authorization, regulator approval, issuer communication, exchange notice, broker recommendation, transaction mandate, or official market instruction unless the relevant source expressly states that fact.

OHUASI content must not imply:

  • Government authorization.
  • Issuer endorsement.
  • Regulator approval.
  • Exchange endorsement.
  • Official access to a privatization process.
  • Insider information.

Source citation is not affiliation.

Public trust standard

A reader should be able to inspect an OHUASI page and answer:

  • Which claims are facts?
  • Which sources support those facts?
  • Which claims are OHUASI interpretation?
  • Which questions remain open?
  • What changed since the last source update?
  • What is the disclosure boundary?

If a page does not make those boundaries clear, it should not be treated as publication-ready.

Institutional action path

Use these controlled entry points when the research moves from reading into committee review, source verification, or transaction screening.

Next research path
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